England reached the quarter-finals of a World Cup for the first time since 2006 with a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Colombia on Tuesday. Sweden had beaten Switzerland 1-0 earlier in the day.
Although Gareth Southgate’s side played the extra 30 minutes midweek, their team were rested for the final group game, so in theory, should still be the less fatigued of the two nations. However, a number of players were visibly tiring towards the end, though only Jamie Vardy is listed as a doubt.
The Three Lions have conceded exactly one goal in each of their four games in Russia and only fired in two efforts on target in 120 minutes of their second round tie – the first a penalty which Harry Kane scored, and then a free kick from a tight angle from Ashley Young that was in a position you’d expect a cross. Simply put, England are not creating much, if anything, in open play.
What’s worse for Southgate’s side, Sweden have kept three clean sheets in their four matches en route to the quarter-finals with only Germany putting the ball in the back of their net. They are a well organised defence so you can expect Robin Olsen’s goal to be well protected.
I have to say I am not as confident as the rest of the nation for Saturday’s game and I expect it to be somewhat of a bore too.
Best bet: Under 2.5 goals is 1.61 with Betfair
Value bet: Under 1.5 goals is 2.82 with Betfair