Premier League Betting Tips 21-22 January

Last weekend’s tips results in 1 winning bet and 2 pushes – so profit all the same. There’s a tough set of fixtures this Saturday before what is set to be an exciting Super Sunday.

I’ve looked closely at the fixtures and found 3 value Premiership Tips for this weekend:

Blackburn +1 to beat Everton 19/20
10-man Blackburn Rovers produced an impressive 3-1 victory over Fulham last week. Despite all the criticism in the face of Steve Kean, the inexperienced manager has turned fortunes around in recent weeks.

7 points from their last 4 games has moved them off the foot of the table to outside of the relegation zone heading into this weekend. Everton have won just two of their last nine in the Premier League.

Blackburn will be without the suspended Yakubu for this game and it’s unclear whether Chris Samba will play for the club again. However, Rovers are playing well as a team of late and won their last victory without both of these players for over an hour.

The counter attack was an effective strategy for Blackburn in that game. I don’t see them seeing many opportunities for those in this game with David Moyes being a very defensive-minded manager.

Everton haven’t scored more than 1 goal in a Premier League game since 26 November – a 2-0 victory at Bolton 10 games ago. They could only beat non-league Tamworth 2-0 in the cup at Goodison Road a fortnight ago. In contrast, Blackburn have scored in all of their away games.

Junior Hoilett is a lively player down the left wing who can cause Phil Neville problems down the flank. David Goodwillie has 1 goal to his name and Ruben Rochina has 2 for potential replacements to the Yak. Mauro Formica’s 3 goals from midfield make him a dangerman in midfield whilst it was Morten Gamst Pederson who got the ball rolling last week.

Everton’s defence is missing Phil Jagielka, Sylvain Distin and Tony Hibbert. In midfield, both Jack Rodwell and Leon Osman remain doubts and no starting striker has yet to score for Everton this season. One positive is the loan signing of Landon Donovan who’s looked lively and provided a delightful assist for Victor Anichebe last weekend. The Nigerian has 2 goals in his 3 appearances since returning on New Year’s Day.

Blackburn to get a point or more at just below evens is good value with the stats in hand. Money back if Everton win by a solo goal. Given Everton’s record recently I cannot make a case for them winning by 2.

Stoke to beat West Brom 18/19
Stoke City will be looking to return to winning ways at the Britannia Stadium this weekend against a West Brom side who have lost each of their last 3 Premier League games.

Tony Pulis’ side are always well-organised at home. The Potters have victories over Liverpool and Tottenham here this season and have held both Chelsea and Manchester United to draws, keeping cleans sheets in 40% of their home games so far this season.

Roy Hodgson makes his side difficult to beat on the road; losing just four times on their travels this season. That includes their last away game, at White Hart Lane. Roy Hodgson has sounded agitated in his post-match interviews recently, starting with their 1-0 defeat against Everton on New Year’s Day. The only goal in that game courtesy of a defensive error. Make similar at the Britannia and look for Stoke to capitalise.

Jon Walters, Peter Crouch and Cameron Jerome are playing well up front of late. Ryan Shotton is a doubt for this game so Stoke’s only long throw option is from Rory Delap should he play. Matthew Etherington offers a good service down the left wing. Jermaine Pennant hasn’t featured so far this year.

West Brom have scored just 3 goals in their last 4 league games; 3 of which were at home. Since holding Manchester City to a goalless draw, West Brom have been beaten 1-0 at home by Everton, 1-0 at Tottenham and 2-1 by Norwich City last week.

Stoke City are good value narrowly below events to add a fourth straight defeat to Roy Hodgson’s side. Tony Pulis has lead his side to 5 victories in 6 Premier League matches over West Brom including a 1-0 victory at the Hawthorns earlier this season.

Liverpool to beat Bolton 4/6
Liverpool’s poor form at home is well-documented this season; winning just 4 from 11 and drawing the other 7. However, away from Anfield Liverpool have performed well this season, winning half of their 10 games on the road – more than any side outside of the top 4. Bolton have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 defeats at the Reebok Stadium this season – the worst home record in the league through 21 games.

Away victories for Kenny Dalglish’s side have come at the Emirates, Goodison Park, the Hawthorns, Stamford Bridge and Villa Park. All teams better than Bolton Wanderers right now.

Goals have been a struggle for Liverpool this season. They actually come into this game having scored fewer goals than Bolton Wanderers. However, the home side have conceded a league high 46 goals in 21 games. Goalkeeper Jussi Jaaskelainen remains a doubt with the thigh injury that has ruled him out of Bolton’s last two Premier League games. His replacement is young Adam Bogdan, whom despite making a flying save from Wayne Rooney’s penalty last week, has looked shaky. The Hungarian has conceded 9 goals in 3 league games including long rangers from Daniel Sturridge, Tim Howard and Michael Carrick. Watch out for Steven Gerrard.

The Liverpool captain has played well since his return. He played 90 minutes for the first time last weekend and is ready for another start at Bolton. Both Gerrard and Charlie Adam in the centre of the Liverpool midfield have the creativity to unlock the Bolton defence.

Gary Cahill is a big loss to Bolton whom are left with Zat Knight and David Wheather in the middle. Both lack any pace which would make Craig Bellamy a threat in this game should Kenny Dalglish give him the nod. Danny Welbeck’s pace caused the Trotters problems last weekend, which included him scoring a one-on-one.

Defensively, Liverpool should know all about and not be too worried about the threat, or lack of that David N’Gog offers. Kevin Davies has barely featured in the past five games. Ivan Klasnic is the biggest threat Bolton have to offer against a defence that has kept clean sheets in 5 of their 10 games on the road this season.

Liverpool are on a 10-game winning streak over Bolton and I would be surprised if they don’t make it 11 after this one. This is the Saturday evening kick off and live TV games means you can get a feel for the game early on and make your bet in-play.